Wednesday, November 30, 2005

Pope Formula

There is a famous equation that attempts to identify the number of intelligent civilizations that might exist in the Universe. It goes like this:

THE DRAKE EQUATION

This equation expresses the number of technological civilizations that might exist among the stars.

R * FP * NE * FL * FI * FC * LN = N = number of advanced technical civilizations emitting detectable radio signals.

R = mean rate of star formation averaged over the lifetime of the galaxy.
FP = fraction of stars with planetary systems.
NE = mean number of planets per system with environments suitable for the origin of life.
FL = fraction of such planets on which life does develop.
FI = fraction of such planets on which intelligent life rises during the lifetime of the local sun.
FC = fraction of planets on which advanced technical civilizations rises.
L = lifetime of this technical civilization.

When explaining this equation, Carl Sagan once said the formula means that at least 1 million of the 100 billion stars in our Milky Way galaxy have planets which have developed advanced intelligent civilizations. Now, if we consider the astronomical fact that there are over 10 billion galaxies in the universe, each holding at least another million solar systemswith advanced civilizations, one may start to think that we may not be the only life in the universe.

Anyway, I thought it might be interesting to apply this equation to the Pope's policies on who can be a priest. So, here goes.

P=The number of people who are alive on Earth at any one time.
R=The percentage of people who have any religious beliefs
S=The number of religions on Earth
C=The number of Catholics on Earth
M=The percentage of Catholics who are Men
G=The percentage of those men who are gay
L=The percentage of men who are not married
V=The percentage of men who want to be a priest
H=The percentage of priests who leave because they can't handle celibacy
N=The potential number of catholic men who are priests

So,

P*R*S*C*M*G*L*V*H=N

I am sure my math in that equation is totally wrong, but a mathematician and statistician could probably figure this out and you probably get the point. Don't forget that when you take out women you have taken away more than 50% of potential priests right there. If anyone comes up with a number for just the USA I will publish it on the blog right here.

I am not being disrespectful here, but just trying to show how a religion can strangle itself by being exclusionary to the ultimate degree. This is an interesting site to visit.

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